Trade Troubles to Delay First Rate Hike from Bank of Canada
Dow Jones
Sep 01
0838 ET - The bar for another rate cut from the Bank of Canada remains high despite the recent escalation in US-Canada trade tensions, says Carl Gomez, chief economist at Centurion Asset Management in Toronto. He tells WSJ that, notwithstanding crossborder trade concerns, financial markets remain focused on the risk of inflation accelerating in Canada. The rise in bond yields suggests "the Bank of Canada may be behind the curve on tightening rates," Gomez says. The yield on the 2-year Canada government bond is above 3%, or 75-percentage-points above the BOC policy rate of 2.25%. Gomez says the trade conflict likely delays the timing of BOC rate increases, to 2H of next year.
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