Global Commodities Roundup: Market Talk

Dow Jones
Yesterday

The latest Market Talks covering Commodities. Published exclusively on Dow Jones Newswires throughout the day.

0322 GMT - Copper is little changed in early Asia trade. Strong fundamentals continue to provide support while growing expectations for the Fed's rate increases cap the upside, Guangzhou Futures analysts say in a note. Copper's fundamentals remain solid as supply stays tight and inventories continue to decline, they say. The three-month LME copper contract is flat at $14,285.00 a ton. (jiahui.huang@wsj.com; @ivy_jiahuihuang)

0240 GMT - Iron ore is higher in early Asian trading. The commodity's supply and demand dynamics have improved, Nanhua Futures analysts say in a note. Investors expect demand to recover due to seasonal factors, they say. The most-traded iron-ore contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange is 0.7% higher at 726.50 yuan a ton.(tracy.qu@wsj.com)

0213 GMT - Gold declines in Asian trade. The precious metal's current pullback below the $4,600 level is likely to be a natural correction on profit-taking after a strong upward rally, says XS.com's Rania Gule in an email. While the environment remains supportive for gold on a fundamental basis, the market has become increasingly sensitive to expectations surrounding U.S. monetary policy, she says. "Elevated inflation, combined with continued uncertainty over economic growth, fiscal conditions, and bond markets, is making the Federal Reserve's task increasingly complicated," the analyst adds. A higher interest rate environment typically weighs on nonyielding assets like gold. Spot gold drops 0.6% to $4,426.48 a troy ounce. (megan.cheah@wsj.com)

2318 GMT - The most notable point in Metals X's annual result was the absence of a dividend, says Ord Minnett. It suggests Metals X is hoarding cash for future production growth. Analyst Matthew Hope says directors are looking toward the Rentails tin-project in Tasmania reaching a final investment decision in 2027, and other possible targets. "While Metals X could become a growth stock, we cannot see imminent catalysts," Ord Minnett says as it downgrades the company to hold, from buy. "The Renison mine is steady state, Rentails project may reach final investment decision in 2027, and the permitting status of projects in companies where Metals X holds a strategic stake is unknown." Metals X ended last week at A$1.915, up 22% over the past month. Ord Minnett retains a A$2.00/share price target.(david.winning@wsj.com; @dwinningWSJ)

2230 GMT - Aeris Resources looks cheap to Ord Minnett in an increasingly more expensive sector. Sentiment toward base metals has improved, supported by strengthening commodity prices. Aeris trades on an enterprise value-to-Ebitda multiple of 2x, well below the 3.7x multiple of peers, analyst Paul Kaner says. It adds the miner's balance sheet, featuring some A$165 million in cash and no debt, is supporting elevated investment in FY27. That positions the business for future growth. "At spot prices, we forecast FY27 free cash flow of A$69 million (9% yield), increasing to A$243 million (31% yield) in FY28 as Constellation comes online," Ord Minnett says. "In our view, continued operational delivery in FY27 should drive greater market recognition of this FY28 earnings and cash flow uplift." It retains a buy call on the stock.

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