Option Focus | Tesla's $4.84 Million Long-Dated Put Buy and $360 Call Sale Signal Institutional Bearishness Amid Cheap Volatility

Option Witch
1 hour ago

Tesla closed at USD 357.01, up 0.26 percent.

Large options trades in Tesla revealed a distinctly bearish institutional tone. A $4.84 million long-dated put buy dominated the flow, while a sizable call sale added to the cautious posture. The positioning suggests traders see limited upside over the medium term and are hedging against a deeper pullback in the stock.

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Options Indicators

TSLA’s implied volatility is 45.78%, and with an IV percentile of 10.71%, current option volatility sits at the low end of its historical range, indicating options are relatively cheaply priced rather than expensive. The IV/HV ratio of 1.09 suggests implied volatility is only modestly above realized volatility, so the premium embedded in options is not particularly stretched. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.43.

Large Trades

A PUT buy worth $4.84 million was the largest displayed trade, with 2,100 contracts of the January 21, 2028 $250.00 put purchased. With TSLA referenced at $357.01, this strike sits out of the money, making it a clear bearish downside position that targets a meaningful decline over a long-dated horizon. The buyer paid premium for extended protection or for a directional bet that TSLA could weaken substantially over time, and the size underscores conviction in a longer-term cautious to negative outlook.

A CALL sale worth $889,200 was the other displayed large trade, involving 2,021 contracts of the September 4, 2026 $360.00 call sold. Against the $357.01 reference stock price, the strike is slightly out of the money, so this trade reflects a bearish or at least upside-capping stance. Strategically, selling this call suggests the trader was willing to collect premium while expressing the view that TSLA is unlikely to break materially above $360.00 by expiration, or that upside expectations should remain limited over that timeframe.

Overall, the large-trade flow in TSLA is clearly bearish. The dominant activity is concentrated in put buying and call selling, which points to traders paying for downside exposure while also fading near-term upside. Taken together, the bulk-order profile suggests institutional positioning is skewed toward weakness in TSLA rather than recovery, with sentiment reflecting caution, hedging demand, and a preference for bearish exposure over bullish participation.

Strategy Reference

Traders seeking a low assignment probability could sell the September 4, 2026 expiration with a strike above $400.00, such as the $420.00 call, which remains well out of the money and benefits from the depressed IV percentile. For those preferring not to post excessive margin, a bear put spread such as buying the January 2028 $250.00 put and selling the $200.00 put would define risk while still capturing the downside tilt.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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