Option Focus | Palantir's $2.76 Million Bet on $380 Calls Expiring June 2027 Signals Aggressive Long-Term Bullish Conviction Amid Near-Record-Low IV Percentile

Option Witch
Yesterday

Palantir Technologies Inc. closed at 186.29 USD, up 0.19%.

Options flow in PLTR was dominated by a massive long-dated bullish wager, with a single call purchase totaling $2.76 million on the June 2027 $380 strike. The trade stood out against a backdrop of unusually inexpensive option pricing, with implied volatility sitting near the bottom of its historical range despite PLTR’s elevated absolute IV level. This combination creates a compelling setup for traders seeking leveraged upside exposure without paying a rich volatility premium.

>>>Start OPTIONS trading & earn up to SGD 200 in rewards!

Options Indicators

PLTR’s implied volatility stands at 49.47%, while its IV percentile is just 8.76%, indicating that although the absolute IV level is not low in isolation, it sits near the bottom of its own historical range. In other words, current option pricing is relatively cheap and volatility conditions are on the low side versus where PLTR options have typically traded. The IV/HV ratio of 0.49 further suggests implied volatility is running below historical realized volatility, reinforcing the view that options are presently priced on the inexpensive side rather than at a premium. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.48.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $2.76 million was the standout large trade in PLTR, with 4,245 contracts bought on the June 17, 2027 $380.0 call. With PLTR referenced at $186.29, this strike is clearly out of the money, making it a high-upside, long-dated bullish wager that targets substantial appreciation over time rather than near-term protection or income. The willingness to spend a sizable premium on such a far-above-spot strike suggests aggressive upside conviction and a preference for leveraged participation in a major longer-term rally.

Overall, the bulk-order flow points to a clear bullish bias in PLTR. The large-trade profile was dominated by upside call buying, and the featured transaction in particular showed traders committing meaningful premium to long-dated out-of-the-money upside exposure, which is typically associated with speculative optimism rather than defensive positioning. While there were small bearish put purchases in the broader flow, they were minor relative to the scale of the bullish activity, leaving the overall signal decisively constructive.

Strategy Reference

For traders who prefer not to post too much margin on a long-dated outright call, a bull call spread using the June 2027 $380/$450 strikes could capture similar upside while reducing net premium outlay; alternatively, premium sellers could target the $120 put strike, which currently carries minimal assignment probability given PLTR’s low IV percentile and bullish flow profile.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10